Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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No one can anticipate the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to provide it its best shot. With approximately date news and a little but feisty 14 Billion parameter model, our AI is boldly anticipating the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to address humankind's hardest questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as 2 years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less easy to determine. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be better at predicting the future (and have actually seen some interesting improvements - research study paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, determining eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is actually on the smaller side. (Some quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from lots of months earlier so we have actually developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unidentified area to make its finest forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We postured the following questions to our AI and evaluated its reaction. While we have seen prediction improvements from our training, utilize these quotes for prop wagering at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility

Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...

First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor since 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even welcomed her pals and family to the Super Bowl, showing her dedication.

Some fans are delighted, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically provided remarks Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not resolving the speculation straight.

I think the crucial points are the speculation and his evasive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential event, the odds and his actions suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, thinking about all factors.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a various front-tush being pushed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this game.

Alright, I'm trying to find out the possibility that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The post discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is quite high. ... I likewise require to think of the defensive strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they may change their defense appropriately, which could either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than 5 appears like a substantial number but possible provided their self-confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% opportunity. This represents their preparation, confidence in the method, and the possibility that they'll use it several times, particularly if it's reliable early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% chance

While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.

From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That seems substantial due to the fact that it reveals he's done it previously, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent posts, it points out that Lamar is moving away from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That might indicate he's less most likely to attend to Trump this time.

However, he's also associated with a feud with Drake, which may offer him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation fit from Drake, so possibly he bewares about including any controversial tunes in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations during the halftime show, so there's a risk that such content may be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold carry on huge phases. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which might offer him more innovative flexibility. Plus, his previous behavior recommends he's not shy about revealing his opinions, even in public performances.

But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could indicate he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's concentrating on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, current shifts in focus, legal issues, and the occasion's context-the likelihood appears to be reasonably high, possibly around 65%.

Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility

Lets be honest, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Looks like theres somewhat of a possibility that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't indicate to cause offense which he actually found it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which may suggest he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Taking a look at the articles, it points out that Andy Reid is a food lover and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who enjoys consuming, specifically with his team. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the situation is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity

"Tails never fails?" You can't fool the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and believes anything can take place when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historical information that might affect this forecast.

First, I read through the short articles provided. They all discuss the historic data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has actually shown up regularly than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, however it's not a substantial distinction.

However, I bear in mind that the result of a coin toss is generally considered random. The small historic edge for tails could be due to chance. But when making predictions, in some cases people weigh historic information even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I ought to consider whether this historical predisposition needs to affect the probability.

After considering it, I choose that while the historic information shows a small preference for tails, it's not statistically substantial adequate to move the likelihood away from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists but does not bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely think the very same. BUT, its authorities now since our AI says the possibilities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will have to win fair and utahsyardsale.com square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty severe accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of articles that discuss conspiracy theories suggesting referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some doubtful contact current games, especially the AFC National championship. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get irritated when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "ridiculous." They say there's no evidence of systematic bias. That's a strong declaration from the individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might suggest there's no real basis or they would have resolved it differently if there was some reality to it.

Taking a look at the short articles, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that analytical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said information shows the Chiefs have been penalized more considering that 2022. That's fascinating because if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate less penalties, right?

...

So, putting it all together, the probability that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't rule out every possibility, but extremely not likely.

Summary

There you have it everyone, is it even worth seeing the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the game turns out before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent video game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, at least it can gain from this.