Our new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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No one can predict the future however at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to provide it its best shot. With up to date news and a little but tough 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we try to address mankind's most difficult questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain lots of pushing questions that are less easy to pin down. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be much better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some appealing improvements - research study paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some estimates suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from many months back so we have built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we offer the news and watch as the AI its way through unidentified territory to make its finest forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We presented the following concerns to our AI and gauged its reaction. While we have seen prediction improvements from our training, use these estimates for prop betting at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% chance

Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...

First, I'll look at the bottom lines from the short articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his career, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even welcomed her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.

Some fans are thrilled, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship personal and not dealing with the speculation straight.

I believe the key points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his reactions suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low probability, possibly around 5%, thinking about all aspects.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% chance

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.

Alright, I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to understand exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a strategy where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, disgaeawiki.info so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and technique.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The post mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is quite high. ... I likewise need to think of the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might adjust their defense accordingly, which might either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than 5 looks like a significant number however possible given their self-confidence, I would approximate a probability around 60-70% possibility. This represents their preparation, confidence in the strategy, and the probability that they'll utilize it several times, particularly if it's reliable early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a fight.

From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That seems substantial since it reveals he's done it before, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent short articles, it points out that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That might mean he's less most likely to attend to Trump this time.

However, he's likewise associated with a fight with Drake, which might offer him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement fit from Drake, so possibly he's cautious about including any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar might feel obliged to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements throughout the halftime show, so there's a threat that such content might be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold proceed big phases. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime show, which might provide him more creative liberty. Plus, his past behavior suggests he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal problems, and the occasion's context-the probability seems to be moderately high, possibly around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility

Lets be honest, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the fact that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its forecast? Looks like theres somewhat of a chance that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to cause offense which he in fact discovered it humorous himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might show he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Taking a look at the articles, it points out that Andy Reid is a food lover and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a post specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who delights in consuming, especially with his team. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the situation is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% chance

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 very bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can happen when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, but there's some historical data that may influence this forecast.

First, I check out through the posts supplied. They all point out the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has come up more typically than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, but it's not a big distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is generally thought about random. The minor historical edge for tails could be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, in some cases individuals weigh historic information even if it's not statistically significant. So, I must consider whether this historical predisposition must influence the possibility.

After believing about it, I decide that while the historic data shows a slight preference for tails, it's not statistically substantial sufficient to move the possibility far from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists but does not override the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility

We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would probably think the same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI states the chances are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still kind of high when it pertains to scams on a national scale). Looks like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty major accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of posts that talk about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable contact current video games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get annoyed when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "ridiculous." They say there's no evidence of methodical bias. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may imply there's no real basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some reality to it.

Looking at the short articles, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that statistical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have been penalized more since 2022. That's intriguing because if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate fewer charges, right?

...

So, putting it all together, the possibility that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably extremely low. Maybe not zero since you can't rule out every possibility, but incredibly not likely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth watching the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a good game! And hi, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.