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Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl predictions from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting
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No one can anticipate the future however at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to provide it its finest shot. With as much as date news and a small however spirited 14 Billion criterion design, our AI is boldly anticipating the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to answer humanity's most difficult concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as two years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain lots of pushing questions that are less simple to select. Our company, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be much better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing enhancements - research study paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, determining eye at the to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is in fact on the smaller sized side. (Some price quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months ago so we have built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its best prediction possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We presented the following concerns to our AI and gauged its response. While we have seen forecast enhancements from our training, use these quotes for prop wagering at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% chance
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta factor in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...
First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the short articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her friends and family to the Super Bowl, showing her dedication.
Some fans are thrilled, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically given comments Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for scientific-programs.science Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship personal and not attending to the speculation straight.
I believe the key points are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his responses suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low probability, possibly around 5%, thinking about all aspects.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% chance
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its just a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.
Alright, I'm attempting to figure out the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to press off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and technique.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the move. The short article mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is pretty high. ... I likewise need to consider the defensive techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might change their defense accordingly, which could either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.
Considering that more than 5 looks like a considerable number however possible offered their self-confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% opportunity. This represents their preparation, confidence in the method, and the probability that they'll utilize it numerous times, particularly if it's efficient early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program efficiency?
AI Final Prediction: 65% opportunity
While our AI may not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a battle.
From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That seems significant since it shows he's done it before, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving away from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That could mean he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.
However, he's also associated with a feud with Drake, which may offer him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement fit from Drake, so possibly he bewares about including any controversial songs in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, larsaluarna.se Lamar might feel forced to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political statements throughout the halftime show, so there's a threat that such material may be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making bold relocations on huge stages. He's the very first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which may give him more innovative flexibility. Plus, his previous behavior recommends he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public performances.
But I likewise remember reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might indicate he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the occasion's context-the probability appears to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity
Lets be honest, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Appears like theres rather of a chance that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't indicate to cause offense which he in fact found it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might show he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Taking a look at the short articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a short article particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who takes pleasure in consuming, particularly with his team. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the situation is on screen for a celebration.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity
"Tails never fails?" You can't trick the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and thinks anything can occur when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historic information that may affect this prediction.
First, I check out the articles provided. They all mention the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has shown up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a small edge, but it's not a huge distinction.
However, I remember that the result of a coin toss is typically thought about random. The slight historical edge for tails could be due to chance. But when making predictions, in some cases people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically significant. So, I must think about whether this historic bias must influence the possibility.
After thinking of it, I choose that while the historic information shows a minor choice for tails, it's not statistically substantial enough to move the probability far from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists however doesn't override the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity
We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would probably believe the very same. BUT, its official now because our AI states the opportunities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty serious allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of articles that speak about conspiracy theories recommending referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some questionable contact recent games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "ridiculous." They state there's no proof of organized bias. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might imply there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some fact to it.
Taking a look at the posts, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that statistical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have actually been punished more given that 2022. That's interesting since if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate less penalties, right?
...
So, putting all of it together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely really low. Maybe not zero since you can't dismiss every possibility, but very not likely.
Summary
There you have it everyone, is it even worth watching the game still? I think I'll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we release this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for a great video game! And hey, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about whatever, at least it can gain from this.
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