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Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting
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Nobody can predict the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its finest shot. With as much as date news and a little however spirited 14 Billion criterion design, our AI is boldly anticipating the unforeseeable. Join us as we attempt to respond to mankind's most difficult concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, simply as two years earlier, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain lots of pressing questions that are less easy to determine. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has actually been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be much better at forecasting the future (and have seen some appealing enhancements - term paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion parameter design which is really on the smaller sized side. (Some estimates recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from numerous months ago so we have actually constructed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its best prediction possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We presented the following concerns to our AI and determined its action. While we have actually seen forecast improvements from our training, utilize these estimates for prop betting at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor suvenir51.ru Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% chance
Therefore it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...
First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the posts. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, gratisafhalen.be public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her pals and household to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.
Some fans are delighted, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically provided remarks Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship personal and not dealing with the speculation straight.
I believe the crucial points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential occasion, the chances and his actions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low possibility, perhaps around 5%, thinking about all elements.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its just a various front-tush being pushed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Looks like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.
Alright, I'm attempting to find out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand what precisely a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it looks like it's a strategy where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The post mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is quite high. ... I likewise require to think of the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they may change their defense accordingly, which might either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.
Considering that more than 5 appears like a significant number but possible given their confidence, I would approximate a probability around 60-70% chance. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll use it several times, especially if it works early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime show performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility
While our AI may not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.
From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That appears substantial due to the fact that it reveals he's done it in the past, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent short articles, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That could indicate he's less likely to attend to Trump this time.
However, he's also involved in a fight with Drake, which might offer him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a character assassination match from Drake, so possibly he bewares about including any controversial tunes in the performance. But because he won the Grammys for that track, he may still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements throughout the halftime program, so there's a threat that such material might be limited or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant carry on big phases. He's the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which might give him more creative flexibility. Plus, his previous habits suggests he's not shy about revealing his opinions, even in public performances.
But I likewise remember reading that Lamar revealed tiredness about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might indicate he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, present shifts in focus, legal issues, and the occasion's context-the likelihood appears to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity
Lets be truthful, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Appears like theres somewhat of a possibility that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't indicate to trigger offense and that he in fact found it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which may indicate he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Looking at the posts, it points out that Andy Reid is a food lover and loves cheeseburgers. There's a short article particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who enjoys eating, especially with his team. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the scenario is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% chance
"Tails never fails?" You can't fool the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and thinks anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historic information that might influence this forecast.
First, I check out through the articles supplied. They all point out the historical data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has turned up regularly than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, photorum.eclat-mauve.fr based purely on history, tails has a small edge, however it's not a big difference.
However, I remember that the outcome of a coin toss is usually considered random. The minor historic edge for tails might be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, sometimes people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I ought to consider whether this historic predisposition must influence the likelihood.
After thinking about it, I choose that while the historical information shows a slight preference for tails, it's not statistically substantial adequate to move the possibility away from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists however does not bypass the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% chance
We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would probably think the very same. BUT, its authorities now due to the fact that our AI says the chances are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to determine the probability that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite severe accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of posts that speak about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some questionable calls in recent games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get irritated when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "outrageous." They state there's no evidence of systematic bias. That's a strong declaration from the people in charge. If they're denying it, it might suggest there's no genuine basis or they would have resolved it differently if there was some truth to it.
Taking a look at the posts, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also pointed out that statistical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have been punished more because 2022. That's intriguing due to the fact that if they were getting unique treatment, you might charges, right?
...
So, putting all of it together, the probability that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely really low. Maybe not zero since you can't dismiss every possibility, however extremely not likely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth seeing the game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the video game ends up before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a great game! And hello, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about everything, a minimum of it can gain from this.
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