Our new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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Nobody can forecast the future however at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to offer it its best shot. With up to date news and a little but tough 14 Billion parameter model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we try to address mankind's most difficult questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as 2 years earlier, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pressing questions that are less simple to pin down. Our company, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be much better at anticipating the future (and have seen some interesting improvements - term paper incoming). Today we turned its cold, determining eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months ago so we have actually constructed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unidentified area to make its best prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We postured the following to our AI and gauged its action. While we have seen forecast improvements from our training, use these price quotes for prop wagering at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility

And so it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta aspect in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...

First, I'll look at the crucial points from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his profession, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her friends and family to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.

Some fans are thrilled, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically given remarks Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.

I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his evasive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an important event, the odds and his responses suggest it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, possibly around 5%, considering all elements.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the very bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% chance

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its just a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this video game.

Alright, I'm attempting to find out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend just what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and technique.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the move. The article points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is quite high. ... I likewise need to consider the protective methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are aware of the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they may adjust their defense appropriately, which might either increase or decrease the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than five appears like a substantial number however possible provided their confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% chance. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the method, and the likelihood that they'll utilize it a number of times, especially if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% chance

While our AI may not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a fight.

From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That seems significant due to the fact that it shows he's done it previously, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current articles, it discusses that Lamar is moving away from political declarations and focusing more on personal expression. That could suggest he's less likely to address Trump this time.

However, he's likewise involved in a fight with Drake, which might give him reasons to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a character assassination suit from Drake, so possibly he bewares about including any controversial songs in the efficiency. But considering that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations throughout the halftime show, so there's a threat that such content might be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making bold moves on big stages. He's the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which may offer him more innovative liberty. Plus, his past behavior recommends he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I likewise remember reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might suggest he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, current shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the occasion's context-the possibility appears to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% chance

Lets be honest, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Looks like theres rather of a possibility that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to trigger offense and that he really discovered it funny himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which may show he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Looking at the short articles, it points out that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, links.gtanet.com.br which suggests that he's an individual who enjoys eating, particularly with his group. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would engage in a cheeseburger, especially if the circumstance is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% chance

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and believes anything can take place when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historic information that may influence this forecast.

First, I go through the articles offered. They all mention the historic stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has come up more typically than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a minor edge, but it's not a big distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is generally considered random. The small historic edge for tails could be due to possibility. But when making predictions, often people weigh historic information even if it's not statistically significant. So, larsaluarna.se I must think about whether this historic predisposition should affect the possibility.

After thinking about it, I decide that while the historical data reveals a minor preference for tails, it's not statistically significant adequate to move the likelihood far from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the slight historical edge exists but doesn't override the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely believe the same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI says the opportunities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty severe accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of posts that speak about conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable hire current games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "ridiculous." They state there's no proof of organized bias. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may suggest there's no real basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some fact to it.

Taking a look at the articles, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that analytical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have been punished more given that 2022. That's fascinating since if they were getting unique treatment, you might expect fewer penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the probability that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely extremely low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't rule out every possibility, but incredibly not likely.

Summary

There you have it everyone, is it even worth viewing the video game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hi, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about whatever, at least it can gain from this.